Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Resolved: Alliance won · See it on Polymarket ↗
26 whales put $74K into this market since Oct 1, 75% of their buying on Astralis. Alliance won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$11K and 16 lost −$44K: −$33K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 26| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delicious-Attacker
439 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Astralis @ 64¢ | $9.5K | — | −$9.5K |
| Spectacular-Centurion
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alliance @ 48¢ | $5.2K | — | +$5.6K |
| Fickle-Scholar
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 57¢ | $5.1K | — | −$5.1K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alliance @ 44¢ | $4.9K | — | +$2.6K |
| Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Astralis @ 45¢ | $4.3K | — | −$1.2K |
| Cumbersome-Skirt
130 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K | — |
| Legal-Booster
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 66¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Adolescent-Style-Brief
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 62¢ | $2.0K | $1.2K | — |
| Apprehensive-Circle-Tonic
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Astralis @ 62¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Taut-Semicolon
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 42¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Easy-Titanium
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 62¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Grateful-Chest
183 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 62¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Ill-Mind
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alliance @ 67¢ | $2.7K | — | +$1.4K |
| Made-Up-Remnant
40 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Astralis @ 67¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Bruised-Nestmate-Octavo
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 60¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Better-Military
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 40¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Quizzical-Hire
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Aged-Laughter
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Astralis @ 58¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Winding-Deal
41 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Jolly-Grove
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 66¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Clear-Barley
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 63¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Variable-Ski
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 40¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Discrete-Century
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alliance @ 42¢ | $1.1K | — | +$1.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
Astralis lost$47K75% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $2.7K sold
-
Alliance won$13K21% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $8.1K sold
-
Alliance lost$2.5K4% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).