Made-Up-Remnant
0x495d6693c96ef98746d007caae82a2055dcc68d8
Made-Up-Remnant: −$11K on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 20%–48%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$11K
return −8.4%
Settled bets
40
$132K staked
Won
32.5%
95% range 20%–48%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.9K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$13K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$19K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | $6.9K |
| Oct 6 | SELL 9z
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $3.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY 9z
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | SELL G2
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $9.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY G2
@ 62¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $5.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.