Bruised-Nestmate-Octavo
0xcf767b5344834653ed0731636bbe73a19458ba2b
Bruised-Nestmate-Octavo: +$3.6K on 31 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 45% (95% range 29%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.6K
return +10.3%
Settled bets
31
$35K staked
Won
45.2%
95% range 29%–62%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$629
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY FlyQuest
@ 95¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 66¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 5 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $2.5K |
| Oct 5 | SELL G2
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY G2
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.