Aged-Laughter

0xc56485e51ccd64d627b1cca971fc1113debee89d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Aged-Laughter: −$3.5K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.5K
return −129.9%
Settled bets
5
$2.7K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–43%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$20
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$3.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Astralis @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 1 SELL BIG @ 47¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Oct 1 SELL fnatic @ 54¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner $1.0K
Oct 1 BUY fnatic @ 40¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner $1.2K
Oct 1 SELL Nongshim RedForce @ 81¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner $1.1K
Sep 17 SELL Top Esports @ 99¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.9K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed