Polymarket market · Other

Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $56K into this market since Oct 1, 79% of their buying on Over. Under won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$7.8K and 6 lost −$41K: −$33K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rash-Granola-Doorbell
1 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 52¢ $27K — −$27K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 49¢ $11K — +$5.7K
Exemplary-Shoreline
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 53¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
0x420f…f244
1 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 52¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Foolish-Complexity-Columnist
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 49¢ $2.0K — +$2.1K
Teeming-Ritual
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
0x8191…da72
211 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 99¢ $1.6K — +$16
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over lost
    $44K
    79% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. Under won
    $12K
    21% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed