Polymarket market · Other
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
32 whales put $2.01M into this market since Sep 28, 74% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 24 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$61K and 4 lost −$42K: +$18K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 32| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murky-Survival-Delight
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.84M | — |
| Educated-Shoat
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47K | — | +$47 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 52¢ | $28K | — | −$28K |
| Creative-Midwife
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $18K | — | +$17K |
| Cheery-Tire-Cluster
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 51¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Anguished-Clam
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $6.9K | — | +$6.6K |
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 49¢ | $6.5K | — | +$6.7K |
| Exemplary-Shoreline
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 50¢ | $5.5K | — | +$5.5K |
| Practical-Marriage
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 51¢ | $1.5K | $3.6K | — |
| Memorable-Maelstrom
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $5.0K | — | +$4.7K |
| Corrupt-Barrel
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 77¢ | $4.2K | — | +$1.2K |
| Dear-Blackboard
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.1K | — |
| Trim-Winner-Amusement
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 77¢ | $3.0K | — | +$903 |
| Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 49¢ | $2.9K | — | +$3.0K |
| Flawed-Infinite
200 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 41¢ | $1.0K | $1.9K | +$854 |
| Enraged-Due
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $2.7K | — | +$2.6K |
| Rotating-Snuggle
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 74¢ | $2.6K | — | +$911 |
| Decisive-Cheek
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.5K | — | +$2 |
| Happy-Wife
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 49¢ | $2.5K | — | +$2.6K |
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $2.1K | — | +$2.0K |
| Orange-Bondsman
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Unwitting-Degradation-Attendant
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 48¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 28¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| 0x8ba2…1650
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 48¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.7K |
| Wasteful-Fourths
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 72¢ | $1.5K | — | +$565 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$120K74% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $1.85M sold
-
No lost$42K26% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $5.2K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 28 to Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).