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0x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875ea

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$30K
return −0.7%
Settled bets
1,330
$4.55M staked
Won
60.2%
95% range 58%–63%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1,330 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$79K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$31K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$18K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

$5.1K bought Yes at 55¢

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Bought Fiona Crawley at 96¢
Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva $2.5K
Oct 7 Bought Fiona Crawley at 96¢
Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva $2.5K
Oct 7 Bought Tatiana Prozorova at 62¢
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura $4.6K
Oct 7 Bought Kyoka Okamura at 50¢
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura $8.0K
Oct 7 Bought Kyoka Okamura at 50¢
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura $8.0K
Oct 7 Bought Jaime Faria at 65¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria $1.3K
Oct 6 Bought Under at 60¢
Goiás EC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
Goiás EC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 $3.0K
Oct 6 Bought Iceland at 99¢
Spread: Estonia (-3.5)
Spread: Estonia (-3.5) $3.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed