Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

Resolved: Alliance won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $58K into this market since Oct 1, 79% of their buying on Astralis. Alliance won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$1.4K and 4 lost −$19K: −$17K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 50¢ $18K — −$14K
Delicious-Attacker
472 settled bets Worse than the odds
Astralis @ 58¢ $10K $7.4K —
Cumbersome-Skirt
141 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.4K —
Rotating-Creche
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.5K —
Realistic-Aftershave-Production
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Astralis @ 83¢ $1.0K $1.1K —
Thrifty-Acquaintance-Tunnel
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Fickle-Scholar
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 58¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Clear-Barley
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 74¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Popular-Dhow
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 64¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alliance @ 44¢ $1.1K — +$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. Astralis lost
    $28K
    79% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.6K sold
  2. Alliance won
    $7.4K
    21% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $20K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed