Illustrious-Pinecone
0xe3d4dee2427b98042822543f8e1e8ab7bafb2bac
Illustrious-Pinecone: −$11K on 151 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 45% (95% range 37%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$11K
return −6.8%
Settled bets
151
$165K staked
Won
45.0%
95% range 37%–53%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 68 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$11K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$5.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$5.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Magdalena Frech
@ 99.84¢
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Moyuka Uchijima |
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Moyuka Uchijima | $1.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime
@ 88¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 77¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 79¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $4.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL 100 Thieves
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $3.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 100 Thieves
@ 61¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.