Polymarket market · Other
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
23 whales put $258K into this market since Oct 1, 89% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 17 made +$161K and 6 lost −$29K: +$132K between them.
The whales on this market
23 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 57¢ | $146K | — | +$110K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 59¢ | $28K | — | +$20K |
| Imperturbable-Benefit-Bartender
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 43¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 57¢ | $14K | — | +$11K |
| Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 94¢ | $5.6K | — | −$1.3K |
| Cautious-Quince
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 95¢ | $5.0K | — | +$287 |
| Tall-Taxicab-Reply
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 44¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Thorny-Snowboarding
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 47¢ | $4.7K | — | −$4.7K |
| Drab-Award
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 55¢ | $4.7K | — | +$3.9K |
| Each-Reception
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 55¢ | $4.0K | — | +$3.2K |
| Silver-Cart-Hospitalisation
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 54¢ | $3.4K | — | +$2.9K |
| 0xc3ed…9f79
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 58¢ | $2.8K | — | +$2.0K |
| Pristine-Hatred
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 56¢ | $2.5K | — | +$2.0K |
| Pale-Upstairs
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 80¢ | $2.2K | — | +$540 |
| Exemplary-Shoreline
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 54¢ | $2.1K | — | +$1.8K |
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 44¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| 0xf262…ad3a
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 53¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.8K |
| Flawed-Trance
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 81¢ | $1.8K | — | +$419 |
| Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 84¢ | $1.6K | — | +$322 |
| Showy-Downgrade
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 83¢ | $1.5K | — | +$310 |
| Fruitful-Acknowledgment
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 46¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Heavenly-Apology
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 90¢ | $1.4K | — | +$157 |
| Smoggy-Repayment
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 71¢ | $1.2K | — | +$500 |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$228K89% of whale buying · 18 buyers
-
Yes lost$29K11% of whale buying · 6 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).