Quizzical-Hire
0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882
Quizzical-Hire: +$27K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 74% (95% range 54%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$27K
return +18.7%
Settled bets
23
$145K staked
Won
73.9%
95% range 54%–88%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$25K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$6.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$8.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL GAM Esports
@ 25¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6? |
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6? | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $84K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Yes
@ 18¢
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? |
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | $4.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Yes
@ 39¢
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? |
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | $4.3K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Alliance
@ 34¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 31¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | $3.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Atlanta Braves
@ 69¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | $7.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.