Discrete-Century
0x880b1fc5d3beb01c237f0848b249fd72b48fc98b
Discrete-Century: −$9.8K on 64 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 41% (95% range 30%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$9.8K
return −3.6%
Settled bets
64
$271K staked
Won
40.6%
95% range 30%–53%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 64 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$5.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$30K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$15K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-10-10? |
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-10-10? | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 52¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY FURIA
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.