Spectacular-Centurion
0x214039968998abdcdbd998d15d699296f3570e12
Spectacular-Centurion: +$13K on 31 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 41%–74%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$13K
return +25.2%
Settled bets
31
$53K staked
Won
58.1%
95% range 41%–74%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$5.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$3.8K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$4.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY Nuggets
@ 67¢
Bulls vs. Nuggets |
Bulls vs. Nuggets | $1.5K |
| Oct 12 | BUY Nuggets
@ 66¢
Bulls vs. Nuggets |
Bulls vs. Nuggets | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 81¢
England vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half |
England vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 54¢
Finland vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Finland vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 83¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $1.7K |
| Oct 2 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Alliance
@ 48¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $5.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.