Jolly-Grove
0x0c71d47d87ee86a9ebf13cb7c68b318e7c0fc0e5
Jolly-Grove: +$4.7K on 58 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 25%–49%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.7K
return +7.6%
Settled bets
58
$62K staked
Won
36.2%
95% range 25%–49%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $2.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 55¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY M80
@ 24¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $6.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 85¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.