Apprehensive-Circle-Tonic

0x69bb6ec3b71d3346c73778120844476bb207a485

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Apprehensive-Circle-Tonic: −$11K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$11K
return −100.2%
Settled bets
4
$11K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–49%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $25K
Oct 1 BUY Flyers @ 38¢
Flyers vs. Devils
Flyers vs. Devils $3.8K
Oct 1 BUY HOTU @ 45¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs $2.3K
Oct 1 BUY HOTU @ 49¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs $1.7K
Oct 1 BUY Astralis @ 62¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $3.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed