Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Resolved: Vitality won · See it on Polymarket ↗
27 whales put $153K into this market since Oct 3, 66% of their buying on Natus Vincere. Vitality won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$16K and 6 lost −$82K: −$66K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 27| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-Documented-Outrigger
118 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 27¢ | $30K | — | −$30K |
| Rash-Barometer
341 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 26¢ | $22K | — | −$22K |
| Alert-Twister-Chicken
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 28¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Rosy-Trinket
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 72¢ | $11K | — | +$4.4K |
| Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Natus Vincere @ 27¢ | $8.8K | — | −$8.8K |
| Unhappy-Something
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 85¢ | $7.5K | — | +$1.3K |
| Jittery-Placebo
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.4K | — |
| Cool-Spiderling
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 74¢ | $5.4K | — | +$1.9K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $4.6K | — |
| Scornful-West
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.1K | — |
| Imaginative-Payment-Plugin
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Harmful-Nest
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 74¢ | $3.0K | — | +$1.0K |
| Thirsty-Chip
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 72¢ | $2.9K | — | +$1.1K |
| Frightened-Accomplishment
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 56¢ | $2.8K | — | +$2.2K |
| Charming-Instrumentalist
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Made-Up-Remnant
40 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Natus Vincere @ 27¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Finished-Cholesterol
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 65¢ | $2.2K | — | +$1.2K |
| Required-Sorbet
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Unlawful-Patty-Fiber
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Babyish-Pony
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Vitality @ 77¢ | $2.1K | — | +$621 |
| Youthful-Intervention
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Natus Vincere @ 28¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 76¢ | $1.4K | — | +$434 |
| Insistent-Workhorse
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Flaky-Integer
218 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 80¢ | $1.3K | — | +$320 |
| Double-Bricklaying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Vitality @ 72¢ | $1.2K | — | +$452 |
Where the whale money went
-
Natus Vincere lost$82K66% of whale buying · 6 buyers
-
Vitality won$43K35% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $28K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).