Polymarket market · Other
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales put $463K into this market since Oct 3, 91% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$244K and 3 lost −$35K: +$209K between them.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murky-Survival-Delight
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 60¢ | $329K | — | +$221K |
| Anguished-Clam
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $3.0K | $31K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 43¢ | $23K | — | −$10K |
| Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 61¢ | $23K | — | −$23K |
| Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 54¢ | $11K | — | +$9.7K |
| Unfolded-Impostor-Bankruptcy
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.0K | — |
| Steep-Tummy
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 58¢ | $6.1K | — | +$4.4K |
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 60¢ | $5.0K | — | +$3.4K |
| Horrible-Enthusiasm
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $5.0K | — | +$197 |
| Grave-Castle
22 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Tempting-Subcomponent
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Rusty-Eagle
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $2.4K | — | +$1.7K |
| Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 41¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| 0x29a4…205e
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 90¢ | $2.0K | — | +$222 |
| Eager-Fill
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 60¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.3K |
| 0xf68a…5b13
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 60¢ | $1.8K | — | +$1.2K |
| Incomparable-Credit
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $1.5K | — | +$113 |
| 0xe304…f4ca
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 60¢ | $1.3K | — | +$891 |
| Querulous-Futon
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$380K91% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $45K sold
-
No lost$39K9% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).