Polymarket market · Other

Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales put $58K into this market since Oct 4, 90% of their buying on Over. Under won. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$5.4K and 2 lost −$52K: −$46K between them.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Alert-Twister-Chicken
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 53¢ $50K — −$50K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 49¢ $4.3K — +$4.5K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 64¢ $1.7K — +$950
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over lost
    $52K
    90% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Under won
    $6.0K
    10% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed