Frightened-Accomplishment
0xe46d6a82a1e68193dbc11f0db5aaac423fc27e4d
Frightened-Accomplishment: +$6.3K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 40%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.3K
return +12.1%
Settled bets
38
$52K staked
Won
55.3%
95% range 40%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$4.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$5.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Vitality
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.8K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Astralis
@ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY M80
@ 44¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 41¢
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | $1.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Nemiga
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Spirit
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 60¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY FURIA
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.