Unhappy-Something
0x4097cd1e22ce8f74a9109a641117d10880779397
Unhappy-Something: +$10K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 30%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$10K
return +13.5%
Settled bets
25
$77K staked
Won
48.0%
95% range 30%–67%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$5.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$3.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Maple Leafs
@ 64¢
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche |
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche | $7.3K |
| Oct 10 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $4.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Vitality
@ 85¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $7.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier | $4.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY OG
@ 36¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | $4.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.