Required-Sorbet

0xa9e37dc9a42a5bd083e584dbbcde6723033c706f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Required-Sorbet: −$1.3K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 5%–45%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.3K
return −17.8%
Settled bets
12
$7.5K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 5%–45%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.7K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$3.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Vitality @ 84¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $5.0K
Oct 7 BUY Spirit @ 91¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.1K
Oct 7 BUY Spirit @ 87¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.5K
Oct 6 BUY Spirit @ 87¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.0K
Oct 4 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.1K
Sep 19 SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? $3.0K
Sep 8 SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed