Babyish-Pony
0xbcd24281bb7c69943f07df21d56d9842330643f3
Babyish-Pony: +$13K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 44%–84%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$13K
return +45.2%
Settled bets
18
$30K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 44%–84%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$374
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$7.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 75¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Vitality
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 95¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 81¢
Game Handicap: TLNP (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+2.5) |
Game Handicap: TLNP (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+2.5) | $3.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY 100 Thieves
@ 66¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY G2
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Vitality
@ 77¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 61¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.