Insistent-Workhorse
0xfc23869c29e0cda2b3d379c4aa665bbe5b3c2f5e
Insistent-Workhorse: −$807 on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 27% (95% range 10%–57%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$807
return −18.2%
Settled bets
11
$4.4K staked
Won
27.3%
95% range 10%–57%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$807
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 96¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 38¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 93¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 94¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 84¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.