Charming-Instrumentalist
0x0063b23cdeb43166d6c0246c05baaf9b9bd72dd2
Charming-Instrumentalist: +$6.2K on 151 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 38%–54%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.2K
return +2.5%
Settled bets
151
$251K staked
Won
45.7%
95% range 38%–54%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 43 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$8.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$7.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$5.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Galorys
@ 62¢
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 94¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 61¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 94¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 89¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 85¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.