Double-Bricklaying
0xd202bf6d89dc6bab1b9f00ead175f75466348973
Double-Bricklaying: −$37K on 124 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 31%–48%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$37K
return −7.9%
Settled bets
124
$466K staked
Won
38.7%
95% range 31%–48%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 124 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.9K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$21K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$14K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $5.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $5.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $4.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $12K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 16¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Mavericks
@ 52¢
Spread: Rockets (-1.5) |
Spread: Rockets (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 50¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.