Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Resolved: MOUZ won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $66K into this market since Oct 3, 72% of their buying on FURIA. MOUZ won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$8.7K and 4 lost −$38K: −$29K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
44 settled bets Worse than the odds
FURIA @ 48¢ $27K — −$27K
Misty-Request
155 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 49¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Jolly-Grove
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.1K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
FURIA @ 45¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
Unacceptable-Barn
87 settled bets Beat the odds*
MOUZ @ 97¢ $3.8K — +$118
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 52¢ $2.1K $1.6K +$2.0K
Guilty-Aide
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.5K —
Ignorant-Bun
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 54¢ $3.3K — +$2.8K
Sturdy-Overheard
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.4K —
Tedious-Pagan
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 54¢ $2.2K — +$1.8K
Adolescent-Style-Brief
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 67¢ $2.0K — +$967
Naive-Motel
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Total-Cover-Author
161 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 41¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Stable-Armament
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 54¢ $1.1K — +$959

Where the whale money went

  1. FURIA lost
    $38K
    72% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. MOUZ won
    $15K
    28% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $14K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed