Alert-Twister-Chicken
0x7f7351b5ba33a4be08b7111911b227cdd82414f1
Alert-Twister-Chicken: +$22K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 37%–76%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$22K
return +5.2%
Settled bets
21
$425K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 37%–76%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$22K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY LOUD
@ 43¢
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $7.3K |
| Oct 7 | SELL NRG
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $15K |
| Oct 7 | BUY NRG
@ 72¢
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $11K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $55K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $20K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 53¢
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 |
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | $40K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 |
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | $6.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.