Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Resolved: Astralis won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $78K into this market since Oct 4, 74% of their buying on Astralis. Astralis won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$49K and 6 lost −$20K: +$29K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 54¢ $45K — +$38K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 51¢ $10K — −$10K
Enlightened-Cop
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 53¢ $5.8K — +$5.2K
Steel-Bull
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 45¢ $2.7K — +$3.3K
Ugly-Diabetes
12 settled bets Too few bets
Nemiga @ 43¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Creative-Midwife
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 48¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Unsung-Short
6 settled bets Too few bets
Nemiga @ 48¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Frightened-Accomplishment
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 53¢ $1.7K — +$1.5K
Harmful-Nest
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 55¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Terrible-Isolation-Birdhouse
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 48¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Graceful-Drizzle-Alcohol
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Noteworthy-Permafrost-Zinc
6 settled bets Too few bets
Astralis @ 72¢ $1.1K — +$424

Where the whale money went

  1. Astralis won
    $57K
    74% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.3K sold
  2. Nemiga lost
    $18K
    23% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  3. Nemiga lost
    $2.0K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed