Finished-Cholesterol
0x42145460f32a84dd27df2dbd7afbee779213db99
Finished-Cholesterol: +$4.3K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 31%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.3K
return +8.1%
Settled bets
29
$53K staked
Won
48.3%
95% range 31%–66%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.7K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Galorys
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Wildcard
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - FRAG University Group D |
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - FRAG University Group D | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 76¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $3.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 78¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $3.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 28¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.