Flaky-Integer

0x6e2c0e9474af7d720e5aba2a5b0bb6f723b7787c

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$73K
return +6.5%
Settled bets
218
$1.12M staked
Won
57.8%
95% range 51%–64%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 218 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$49K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$7.3K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$31K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Bought LOUD at 83¢
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.7K
Oct 7 Bought LOUD at 89¢
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 7 Bought FURIA at 76¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner $1.4K
Oct 6 Bought Natus Vincere at 38¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.0K
Oct 6 Bought Team Falcons at 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.1K
Oct 6 Bought Team Falcons at 57¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.8K
Oct 6 Bought Team Falcons at 56¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $3.5K
Oct 6 Bought Team Falcons at 60¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed