Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

Resolved: Heat won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales traded $317K on this market since Oct 28, 74% of their buying on Hawks. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Heat won, with 27% of the whale buying on it. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 18 made +$83K and 4 lost −$224K: −$142K between them. Biggest win: Fake-Bitter, +$13K on Heat. Biggest loss: Vivid-Ski, −$179K on Hawks.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
BUY $119K
bought Hawks @ 52¢ → lost (−$119K)
Vivid-Ski · 44 settled bets · −$210K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Vivid-Ski
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawks @ 51¢ $179K — −$179K
Corrupt-Poisoning
522 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hawks @ 53¢ $19K — −$19K
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
199 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawks @ 48¢ $17K — −$17K
Fake-Bitter
1,564 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Heat @ 49¢ $16K — +$13K
Bright-Caution
5 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 49¢ $9.8K — +$10K
Vital-Wingman
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.6K —
Scary-Fannypack
300 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hawks @ 49¢ $8.9K — −$8.9K
Creepy-Infix
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Heat @ 49¢ $7.4K — +$7.7K
Hateful-Chord
225 settled bets Beat the odds*
Heat @ 49¢ $6.5K — +$6.6K
Single-Morale-Mattress
8 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 49¢ $6.3K — +$6.6K
Unkempt-Image
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Heat @ 49¢ $5.8K — +$6.1K
Forthright-Fashion
9 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 49¢ $5.8K — +$6.0K
Trained-Omega
7 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 50¢ $4.0K — +$4.0K
Earnest-Chorus
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Heat @ 49¢ $3.4K — +$3.5K
Powerless-Savannah
3,066 settled bets Beat the odds*
Heat @ 49¢ $3.3K — +$3.4K
Well-Groomed-Hunter-Channel
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Heat @ 49¢ $2.9K — +$3.1K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Comradeship
3 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 49¢ $2.5K — +$2.6K
Outgoing-Knowhow
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Heat @ 49¢ $2.2K — +$2.3K
Curly-Grocery
9 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
Well-Made-Distinction
6 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 49¢ $1.9K — +$2.0K
Agitated-Bricklaying
502 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Heat @ 49¢ $1.3K — +$1.4K
Easy-Going-Mallet-Competition
5 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 49¢ $1.1K — +$1.1K
Grumpy-Marshmallow
8 settled bets Too few bets
Heat @ 49¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Hawks lost
    $226K
    74% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Heat won
    $81K
    27% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $9.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793257219).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Heat vs. Hawks $216K 33 Won: Heat
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) $118K 3 Won: Nuggets
Wizards vs. Cavaliers $135K 23 Won: Cavaliers
Hornets vs. Pistons $180K 27 Won: Pistons
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5 $85K 4 Won: Under
Magic vs. Raptors $141K 18 Won: Raptors
76ers vs. Pacers $285K 44 Won: 76ers
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28? $113K 10 Won: No
About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed