Forthright-Fashion
Skill vs luck
Forthright-Fashion on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Forthright-Fashion: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0c9b80ff32aaf12f88c67ed188d797141de7b088. Data CC BY 4.0.
Forthright-Fashion: −$2.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- −$2.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY No @ 53¢ | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Pacers @ 50¢ | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) ↗ | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?