Trained-Omega
Skill vs luck
Trained-Omega on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$609. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Trained-Omega: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1aa20e9c2b2a3963dabb3bf8b36b39abbe2030cc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Trained-Omega: +$609 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 20 – Oct 6
- +$1.6K
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- −$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | BUY Pacers @ 50¢ | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) ↗ | $1.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5 |
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5 | $1.5K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?