Well-Groomed-Hunter-Channel

0xedc35944a67658dc37d4e8de948cea2a7fa3f923

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Well-Groomed-Hunter-Channel: +$2.9K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 39%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$2.9K
return +5.5%
Settled bets
26
$52K staked
Won
57.7%
95% range 39%–75%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$926
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$979
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$2.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY KT Rolster @ 72¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $1.7K
Oct 11 BUY KT Rolster @ 72¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $1.7K
Oct 11 BUY KT Rolster @ 74¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $1.7K
Oct 11 BUY Vitality @ 47¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) $1.1K
Oct 9 BUY MOUZ @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 8 BUY Celtics @ 49¢
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
Celtics vs. Cavaliers $1.1K
Oct 8 BUY Celtics @ 49¢
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
Celtics vs. Cavaliers $1.7K
Oct 8 BUY Team Falcons @ 48¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed