Outgoing-Knowhow
0xfc929f5943f4fa96e395bc58e13fb94af8bd5667
Outgoing-Knowhow: −$14K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 19% (95% range 7%–43%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$14K
return −52.4%
Settled bets
16
$27K staked
Won
18.8%
95% range 7%–43%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$13K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$210
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 37¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 29¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $2.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 40¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 71¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 71¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY FlyQuest
@ 44¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 57¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.