Creepy-Infix
Skill vs luck
Creepy-Infix on Polymarket: 23 settled bets · won 52% (95% range 33%–71%) · profit +$50K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Creepy-Infix: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2879ded7fe05df00eddbb2fba412a0d30964411a. Data CC BY 4.0.
Creepy-Infix: +$50K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 33%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$1.6K
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$52K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Grizzlies
@ 54¢
Spread: Jazz (-1.5) |
Spread: Jazz (-1.5) | $7.9K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Rockets @ 51¢ | Spread: Rockets (-4.5) ↗ | $15K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Timberwolves
@ 50¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) |
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | $10K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Nagoya Grampus vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5 |
Nagoya Grampus vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5 | $1.6K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Nagoya Grampus vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5 |
Nagoya Grampus vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5 |
Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 |
Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | $4.7K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Vitória SC vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 3.5 |
Vitória SC vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 3.5 | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?