Earnest-Chorus
0x8bcc93c5aa3554227926a1efdb0bf8315edcbb8e
Earnest-Chorus: −$11K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 22% (95% range 6%–55%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$11K
return −77.5%
Settled bets
9
$14K staked
Won
22.2%
95% range 6%–55%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$7.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5 |
Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 79¢
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score |
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY New York Liberty
@ 48¢
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) |
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? |
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? | $1.0K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5 |
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? | $3.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Minnesota Lynx
@ 50¢
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-18.5) |
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-18.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Sporting Kansas City vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5 |
Sporting Kansas City vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5 | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.