Polymarket market · Sports

Wizards vs. Cavaliers

Resolved: Cavaliers won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales traded $135K on this market since Oct 28, 83% of their buying on Cavaliers. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. Cavaliers won, with 83% of the whale buying on it. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$29K and 9 lost −$18K: +$11K between them. Biggest win: Grown-Difference-Burnout, +$12K on Cavaliers. Biggest loss: Near-Archer-Godfather, −$4.0K on Wizards.

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sparse-Outset
393 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cavaliers @ 63¢ $17K $20K +$2.8K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
408 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cavaliers @ 74¢ $35K — +$12K
Corrupt-Poisoning
522 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cavaliers @ 79¢ $20K — +$5.3K
Scary-Fannypack
300 settled bets Beat the odds*
Wizards @ 47¢ $7.9K — −$3.5K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
514 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cavaliers @ 45¢ $5.1K — +$6.2K
Near-Archer-Godfather
74 settled bets Beat the odds*
Wizards @ 33¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Favorite-Minimum
13 settled bets Too few bets
Cavaliers @ 78¢ $3.1K — +$880
Oval-Maternity
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wizards @ 24¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Flustered-Spouse-Bachelor
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wizards @ 30¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,305 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Infantile-Squid-Periodical
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cavaliers @ 78¢ $1.5K — +$427
Excitable-Accelerant
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Vibrant-Kind
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cavaliers @ 99¢ $1.5K — +$15
Noisy-Word
65 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cavaliers @ 74¢ $1.5K — +$520
Powerless-Savannah
3,066 settled bets Beat the odds*
Wizards @ 47¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Admirable-Loss
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wizards @ 53¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,302 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cavaliers @ 77¢ $1.3K — +$397
Constant-Steak
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Dapper-Pier
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,465 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cavaliers @ 70¢ $1.2K — +$520
Unkempt-Image
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wizards @ 24¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Key-Capability
157 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wizards @ 26¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Fitting-Award
14 settled bets Too few bets
Wizards @ 53¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Cavaliers won
    $90K
    83% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $25K sold
  2. Wizards lost
    $19K
    17% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $1.5K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793257219).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5 $85K 4 Won: Under
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) $118K 3 Won: Nuggets
Spread: Hawks (-2.5) $317K 23 Won: Heat
Heat vs. Hawks $216K 33 Won: Heat
Hornets vs. Pistons $180K 27 Won: Pistons
Magic vs. Raptors $141K 18 Won: Raptors
76ers vs. Pacers $285K 44 Won: 76ers
Nuggets vs. Pelicans $248K 20 Won: Nuggets
About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed