Agitated-Bricklaying
0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63
Agitated-Bricklaying: +$8.9K on 491 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 49%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$8.9K
return +0.3%
Settled bets
491
$2.86M staked
Won
53.6%
95% range 49%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 491 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$9.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$139K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$157K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Falcons
@ 92¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $1.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Lions
@ 30¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $1.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Lions
@ 30¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 86¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $2.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 90¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $5.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 88¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $1.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 82¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $7.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Lions
@ 47¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.