Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

Resolved: Nuggets won · See it on Polymarket ↗

3 whales traded $118K on this market since Oct 29, 49% of their buying on Pelicans. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 65 seconds later would have cost 3.4¢ more per share, with 28% of the size there to buy. Nuggets won, with 43% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$50K and 2 lost −$68K: −$18K between them. Biggest win: Shoddy-Harmonise, +$50K on Nuggets. Biggest loss: Vivid-Ski, −$58K on Pelicans.

The whales on this market

3 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Vivid-Ski
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pelicans @ 52¢ $58K — −$58K
Shoddy-Harmonise
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuggets @ 50¢ $50K — +$50K
Substantial-Service
1,095 settled bets Beat the odds*
Pelicans @ 50¢ $10K — −$10K

Where the whale money went

  1. Pelicans lost
    $58K
    49% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  2. Nuggets won
    $50K
    43% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Pelicans lost
    $10K
    9% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793257219).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Nuggets vs. Pelicans $248K 20 Won: Nuggets
Spread: Hawks (-2.5) $317K 23 Won: Heat
Heat vs. Hawks $216K 33 Won: Heat
Wizards vs. Cavaliers $135K 23 Won: Cavaliers
Hornets vs. Pistons $180K 27 Won: Pistons
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5 $85K 4 Won: Under
Magic vs. Raptors $141K 18 Won: Raptors
76ers vs. Pacers $285K 44 Won: 76ers
About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed