Unkempt-Image
0xd106952ebf30a3125affd8a23b6c1f30c35fc79c
Unkempt-Image: +$50K on 103 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 40%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$50K
return +11.8%
Settled bets
103
$424K staked
Won
49.5%
95% range 40%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 103 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$78K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$28K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Cowboys
@ 81¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $2.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Saints
@ 52¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $1.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Saints
@ 49¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5) |
Spread: Saints (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Saints
@ 49¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5) |
Spread: Saints (-1.5) | $3.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Saints
@ 49¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5) |
Spread: Saints (-1.5) | $1.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Saints
@ 49¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5) |
Spread: Saints (-1.5) | $3.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Saints
@ 49¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5) |
Spread: Saints (-1.5) | $3.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Saints
@ 49¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5) |
Spread: Saints (-1.5) | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.