Vivid-Ski

0xe9b710551dd82a44e79203c2394a2b10163ace7b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Vivid-Ski: +$272K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$272K
return +23.4%
Settled bets
5
$1.16M staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$272K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY Francisca Jorge @ 70¢
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva $5.7K
Sep 17 BUY Francisca Jorge @ 70¢
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva $5.6K
Sep 17 BUY Francisca Jorge @ 70¢
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva $21K
Sep 17 BUY Francisca Jorge @ 70¢
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva $22K
Sep 17 BUY Francisca Jorge @ 69¢
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva $13K
Sep 13 BUY No @ 58¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-12?
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-12? $18K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 59¢
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-12?
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-12? $10K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 58¢
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-12?
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-12? $3.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed