Polymarket market · Sports
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $85K on this market since Oct 28, 77% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.6¢ more per share, with 59% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 24% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$3.4K and 1 lost −$10K: −$7.1K between them. Biggest win: Key-Capability, +$1.7K on Under. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$10K on Over.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wordy-Littleneck
363 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $71K | — |
| Substantial-Service
1,095 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Over @ 58¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Powerless-Savannah
3,066 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 50¢ | $1.7K | — | +$1.7K |
| Key-Capability
157 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 47¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.7K |
Where the whale money went
-
Over lost$10K77% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Under won$3.2K24% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $71K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | $135K | 23 | Won: Cavaliers | |
| Magic vs. Raptors | $141K | 18 | Won: Raptors | |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | $180K | 27 | Won: Pistons | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) | $118K | 3 | Won: Nuggets | |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | $317K | 23 | Won: Heat | |
| Heat vs. Hawks | $216K | 33 | Won: Heat | |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | $285K | 44 | Won: 76ers | |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans | $248K | 20 | Won: Nuggets |