Polymarket market · Sports
Heat vs. Hawks
Resolved: Heat won · See it on Polymarket ↗
33 whales traded $216K on this market since Oct 28, 55% of their buying on Hawks. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 90 seconds later would have cost 2.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Heat won, with 45% of the whale buying on it. Of the 28 whales whose whole position we captured, 16 made +$52K and 12 lost −$94K: −$43K between them. Biggest win: Positive-Console, +$17K on Heat. Biggest loss: Vivid-Ski, −$48K on Hawks.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 33| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Ski
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 57¢ | $48K | — | −$48K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
522 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Heat @ 66¢ | $16K | — | +$3.5K |
| Scary-Fannypack
300 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hawks @ 43¢ | $14K | — | −$6.3K |
| Positive-Console
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 44¢ | $14K | — | +$17K |
| Overlooked-Wetsuit
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $11K | — |
| Strange-Julienne-Cinema
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $11K | — |
| Probable-Motion-Millstone
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 84¢ | $10K | — | +$1.9K |
| Serene-Short
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 56¢ | $10K | — | +$7.8K |
| Cute-Legitimacy
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 21¢ | $9.0K | — | −$9.0K |
| Corny-Doc
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Hawks @ 56¢ | $8.1K | — | −$8.1K |
| Reckless-Derivation
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.9K | — |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
408 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hawks @ 44¢ | $6.6K | — | −$3.7K |
| Noisy-Word
65 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Heat @ 67¢ | $5.4K | — | +$2.7K |
| Powerless-Savannah
3,066 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hawks @ 49¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Mountainous-Tamale
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Hawks @ 37¢ | $4.4K | — | −$4.4K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,564 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 44¢ | $4.4K | — | +$5.6K |
| Scornful-West
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 56¢ | $1.1K | $2.3K | — |
| Potable-Frenzy
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 45¢ | $2.7K | — | +$3.3K |
| Firsthand-Ticket-Nothing
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Hawks @ 24¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Infamous-Ocelot
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 56¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Monstrous-Dew
500 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 48¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Crazy-Mouton-Economy
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 81¢ | $2.2K | — | +$519 |
| Gloomy-Warfare
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 99¢ | $2.0K | — | +$20 |
| Vibrant-Kind
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 99.02¢ | $1.7K | — | +$17 |
| Common-Comma
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 44¢ | $1.7K | — | +$2.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Hawks lost$101K55% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $2.3K sold
-
Heat won$82K45% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $31K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | $317K | 23 | Won: Heat | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) | $118K | 3 | Won: Nuggets | |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | $135K | 23 | Won: Cavaliers | |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | $180K | 27 | Won: Pistons | |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5 | $85K | 4 | Won: Under | |
| Magic vs. Raptors | $141K | 18 | Won: Raptors | |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | $285K | 44 | Won: 76ers | |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28? | $113K | 10 | Won: No |