Vital-Wingman
Skill vs luck
Vital-Wingman on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Vital-Wingman: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x19b514795691d9b89aebd0ee81e3c6270035c0ae. Data CC BY 4.0.
Vital-Wingman: −$2.4K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- −$2.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | Spread: Hawks (-2.5) ↗ | $9.6K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5 |
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5 |
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5 | $1.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.