Curly-Grocery
Skill vs luck
Curly-Grocery on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 19%–81%) · profit −$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Curly-Grocery: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7658bed18c705636651427a90f18d44679e4b9f8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Curly-Grocery: −$1.1K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Kings @ 49¢ | Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Over
@ 53¢
Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5 |
Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 |
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5 |
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Raptors
@ 54¢
Spread: Raptors (-7.5) |
Spread: Raptors (-7.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Timberwolves
@ 52¢
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5) |
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5) | $2.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?