Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Resolved: MOUZ won · See it on Polymarket ↗

27 whales put $106K into this market since Oct 9, 57% of their buying on Spirit. MOUZ won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$38K and 12 lost −$56K: −$18K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 27
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Spirit @ 57¢ $22K — −$22K
Quixotic-Brow
128 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 42¢ $10K — +$14K
Impressionable-Production-Scarf
1 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 27¢ $9.6K — −$9.6K
Lovable-Triumph-Mom
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.8K —
Charming-Instrumentalist
189 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 59¢ $2.9K $2.5K —
Waterlogged-Glasses
7 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 36¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Big-Hearted-Loggia
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 41¢ $5.0K — +$7.2K
Variable-Ski
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 42¢ $4.6K — +$6.4K
Bulky-Molar
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Humming-Seminar-Dynamite
8 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 57¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Likely-Feedback
14 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 56¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Unpleasant-Range-Fright
1 settled bets Too few bets
MOUZ @ 47¢ $2.9K — +$3.2K
Insistent-Workhorse
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 62¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Wrathful-Row
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 84¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Writhing-Round
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 58¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Proud-Continuity-Collateral
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Authorized-Vision
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 59¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Harmless-Fatigues
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 33¢ $1.6K — +$3.2K
Utilized-Hunting-Receiver
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 58¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Flaky-Integer
277 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 61¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Lively-Hypothermia
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Good-Natured-Announcement
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 59¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Thorny-Function-Bifocals
4 settled bets Too few bets
MOUZ @ 42¢ $1.2K — +$1.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Spirit lost
    $49K
    57% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $1.3K sold
  2. MOUZ won
    $28K
    32% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $18K sold
  3. MOUZ lost
    $9.8K
    11% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed