Utilized-Hunting-Receiver

0x27e43aad2471b41a8cee10a20920d948c2304803

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Utilized-Hunting-Receiver: −$650 on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 62% (95% range 41%–79%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$650
return −2.2%
Settled bets
21
$30K staked
Won
61.9%
95% range 41%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.7K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$2.1K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Spirit @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.4K
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 71¢
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 6.5
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 6.5 $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY PARIVISION @ 66¢
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) $1.3K
Oct 5 BUY 1WIN @ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner $1.0K
Oct 4 BUY Anguilla @ 53¢
Spread: Aruba (-3.5)
Spread: Aruba (-3.5) $1.1K
Oct 4 BUY Under @ 69¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5 $1.7K
Oct 3 BUY Alliance @ 57¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 70¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?
Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29? $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed