Polymarket market · Other

Texas vs. Oklahoma

Resolved: Oklahoma won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $122K into this market since Oct 10, 83% of their buying on Texas. Oklahoma won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$26K and 8 lost −$93K: −$67K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 72¢ $29K — −$29K
Strident-Patience-Symbol
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 87¢ $26K — −$26K
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 76¢ $13K — −$13K
Handy-Disconnection
8 settled bets Too few bets
Texas @ 87¢ $8.7K — −$8.7K
Favorable-Neuron
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.4K —
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 25¢ $6.3K — +$19K
Tan-Glee
11 settled bets Too few bets
Texas @ 76¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.5K —
Cautious-Quince
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 80¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Sad-Worry
7 settled bets Too few bets
Texas @ 76¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Corrupt-Poisoning
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 73¢ $3.8K — −$1.6K
0xa0f2…1848
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 71¢ $2.8K — +$1.2K
0xd35a…9328
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Scary-Fannypack
123 settled bets Beat the odds*
Oklahoma @ 22¢ $1.4K — +$5.0K
Ultimate-Hectare-Chief
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Bruised-Downfall
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 52¢ $1.3K — +$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Texas lost
    $89K
    83% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. Oklahoma won
    $14K
    13% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $15K sold
  3. Texas lost
    $5.0K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed