Polymarket market · Other

LSU vs. Kentucky

Resolved: Kentucky won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $177K into this market since Oct 10, 79% of their buying on LSU. Kentucky won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$59K and 5 lost −$135K: −$76K between them.

In the live feed

$158K from 5 whales, last 24h
SELL $6.1K
sold Kentucky @ 99¢ → won
Negligible-Somersault · 120 settled bets · +$13K Can't tell from luck
BUY $71K
bought LSU @ 56¢ → lost (−$71K)
Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament · 1 settled bets · −$118K Too few bets

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament
1 settled bets Too few bets
LSU @ 56¢ $118K — −$118K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kentucky @ 37¢ $20K — +$33K
Scary-Fannypack
123 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kentucky @ 48¢ $8.5K — +$9.2K
Negligible-Somersault
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kentucky @ 22¢ $1.8K $6.1K +$6.1K
Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LSU @ 55¢ $5.5K — −$5.5K
Fuzzy-Yoga
10 settled bets Too few bets
LSU @ 63¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
Acrobatic-Baggage
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LSU @ 55¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Dim-Income
4 settled bets Too few bets
LSU @ 76¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Shoddy-Harmonise
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kentucky @ 34¢ $3.2K — +$6.3K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
125 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kentucky @ 37¢ $2.5K — +$4.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. LSU lost
    $135K
    79% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Kentucky won
    $36K
    21% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $6.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 10 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed